{"id":16265,"date":"2026-04-16T18:01:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T14:31:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T18:01:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T14:31:16","slug":"weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/","title":{"rendered":""},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 ez-toc-wrap-center counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-light-blue ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title ez-toc-toggle\" style=\"cursor:pointer\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 eztoc-toggle-hide-by-default' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-1'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Weekly_Market_Analysis_%E2%80%94_28-27_Farvardin_1405_14-16_April_2026\" >Weekly Market Analysis \u2014 28-27 Farvardin 1405 (14-16 April 2026)<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-2' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Executive_Summary\" >Executive Summary<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Bitcoin_and_Crypto_Market\" >Bitcoin and Crypto Market<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Key_technical_levels\" >Key technical levels<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Institutional_activity\" >Institutional activity<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-6\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#My_vision\" >My vision<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-7\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#US_stock_market\" >US stock market<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-8\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Main_drivers\" >Main drivers<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-9\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Turkiye_BIST_100_and_Lira\" >T\u00fcrkiye: BIST 100 and Lira<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-10\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Investment_implications_for_Turkiye\" >Investment implications for T\u00fcrkiye<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-11\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Key_events_next_week\" >Key events next week<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-12\" href=\"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/weekly-analysis-april-14-16-2026-fa\/#Conclusion\" >Conclusion<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h1><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Weekly_Market_Analysis_%E2%80%94_28-27_Farvardin_1405_14-16_April_2026\"><\/span>Weekly Market Analysis \u2014 28-27 Farvardin 1405 (14-16 April 2026)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h1>\n<p><em>Author: <strong>Farhad Moghadam Salimi<\/strong> | Publication date: 17 April 1405 <\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Executive_Summary\"><\/span>Executive Summary<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>This week was a major turning point for global risk assets. The S&amp;P 500 crossed the historic 7,000 mark for the first time, Bitcoin surged above $74,000 as whales piled in, and Turkey\u2019s BIST 100 hit a two-month high near 14,300. Key drivers: optimism over US-Iran talks and strong institutional inflows into crypto ETFs.   <\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Bitcoin_and_Crypto_Market\"><\/span>Bitcoin and Crypto Market<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Bitcoin is trading at approximately <strong>$74,576<\/strong> on April 16, hitting a four-week high and consolidating above the psychological level of $73,000.<\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_technical_levels\"><\/span>Key technical levels<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Support:<\/strong> $73,000 (psychological) \/ $71,500 (recent swing low)<\/li>\n<li><strong>Resistance:<\/strong> $75,000 (instant) \/ $80,000-80,600 (important band)<\/li>\n<li><strong>200-day moving average:<\/strong> $87,519 \u2014 Bitcoin is undervalued in the long term and has upside potential<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Institutional_activity\"><\/span>Institutional activity<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The institutional narrative continues to strengthen. The first quarter of 2026 saw <strong>$18.7 billion<\/strong> in net inflows into crypto ETPs globally, with Bitcoin ETFs alone attracting <strong>$12.4 billion<\/strong> . BlackRock bought $612 million worth of Bitcoin over five trading sessions in the week of April 10-11. This level of institutional accumulation, coupled with whale buying patterns, suggests a possible move to $75,000-80,000 before the summer.   <\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"My_vision\"><\/span>My vision<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>The combination of institutional inflows, whale accumulation, and improving macroeconomic conditions has created a bullish structure. However, the 200-day moving average at $87,519 remains a significant hurdle. I expect a gradual move towards $78,000-80,000 by the end of April, with any correction to $71,500-72,000 being a buying opportunity.  <\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"US_stock_market\"><\/span>US stock market<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The S&amp;P 500 hit a historic high this week, closing at <strong>7,033<\/strong> on April 16 \u2014 breaking through 7,000 for the first time in history. The Nasdaq ended an <strong>11-day record high<\/strong> of 24,016. <\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Main_drivers\"><\/span>Main drivers<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Geopolitics:<\/strong> Growing optimism about US-Iran talks after ceasefire agreement<\/li>\n<li><strong>Banking Sector Strength:<\/strong> First Quarter Reporting Season with Robust Financial Results<\/li>\n<li><strong>Oil price decline:<\/strong> Oil prices fall as peace expectations ease inflation concerns<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Turkiye_BIST_100_and_Lira\"><\/span>T\u00fcrkiye: BIST 100 and Lira <span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>The <strong>BIST 100<\/strong> index is testing above <strong>14,300<\/strong> \u2014 the highest level in two months.<\/p>\n<p>The Turkish lira continues its structural decline, reaching around <strong>44.5 lira to the dollar<\/strong> . The Central Bank of Turkey continues to intervene in the foreign exchange market. <\/p>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Investment_implications_for_Turkiye\"><\/span>Investment implications for T\u00fcrkiye<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Turkish stocks remain attractive in lira but carry significant currency risk for foreign investors<\/li>\n<li>Real estate-backed assets (like RWA tokens) offer a natural hedge against inflation<\/li>\n<li>Keep an eye on the Turkish Central Bank&#8217;s interest rate decisions in the coming weeks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Key_events_next_week\"><\/span>Key events next week<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Earnings reports from major US tech companies<\/li>\n<li>Federal Reserve Statements and Interest Rate Signals<\/li>\n<li>Developments in US-Iran negotiations<\/li>\n<li>Bitcoin\u2019s ability to hold the $73,000 level and challenge the $75,000 level<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Conclusion\"><\/span>Conclusion<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>We are in a risk-on environment driven by easing geopolitical tensions and strong institutional currents. Bitcoin\u2019s structure is constructive, US stocks are making history, and Turkish markets are riding the global wave. The main risk is a sudden reversal in diplomacy or unexpected contractionary signals from central banks.  <\/p>\n<p><em>This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. Always do your own research before making any investment decisions. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weekly Market Analysis \u2014 28-27 Farvardin 1405 (14-16 April 2026) Author: Farhad Moghadam Salimi | Publication date: 17 April 1405 Executive Summary This week was a major turning point for&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[99],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-16265","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-weekly-analysis-2"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16265","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16265"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16265\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16265"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16265"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/farhadsalimi.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16265"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}